Just 49% of young people plan to vote in the next election

A poll released this week shows that younger generations, those ages 18 to 29, are less likely to vote in the upcoming presidential election than in previous years.

The Institute of Politics at Harvard Kennedy School poll found that only 49% of 18-to 29-year-olds were “definitely” planning on voting for president in 2024.

That number represents a nearly 8% drop from the fall of 2019 when 57% reported the same thing.


If trends follow, even fewer younger Americans will cast a ballot in 2024, which appears to be a rematch of former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden, as polling stands.

Broken down further, the poll found that younger Black and Hispanic Americans were less likely to vote now than they were in 2019.

For Black Americans, only 38% say they will “definitely vote” next year, compared to 50% four years ago. The trend was similar with Hispanic Americans, dropping from 56% in 2019 to 40% this year.

As for political parties, only 56% of Republicans reported that they would definitely be casting a ballot in 2024, a 10-point decline from 2019. Democrats remained around the same mark at 66%.

IOP Director Setti Warren shared in a news release that as 2024 inches closer, candidates will need to put in overtime to appeal to the younger disenfranchised generation.


When it comes to what younger Americans are worried about, the poll found that they aren’t sure any of the leading candidates can handle climate change, health care, gun violence, foreign wars, or other issues facing the nation.

The poll included responses from 2,098 18-to 29-year-olds and was conducted from Oct. 23 to Nov. 6. There is a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.

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